College ROI

Smarter Choices, Brighter Futures
Back to Colleges

University of California-Merced

Merced, CA 8,372 Undergrads 70.6% Grad Rate
Share
Total Cost
$41,008
Sticker Price
Avg Net Price
$11,583
After Aid
Median Earnings
$69,859
5yr Post-Grad

Vs. Peer Institutions

Net Price$11,583
Peer Midpoint: $19,969
Earnings (5yr Post-Grad)Completers only after graduation
$69,859
Peer Midpoint: $61,632
Earnings (10yr Post-Enroll)All enrolled after enrollment
$69,352
Peer Midpoint: $58,891
Graduation Rate70.6%
Peer Midpoint: 58.9%
Average starting age (2015-17)19.5
Socio-Economic Diversity
Pell Grant Recipients60.4%
Enrollment Status
Full-Time98.4%
Economic Outcomes
Earn More than HS74.8%

Admissions Profile

Acceptance
90.5%
SAT Avg
-
SAT Reading
25th: --75th: -
SAT Math
25th: --75th: -
ACT Composite
25th: --75th: -

ROI Sensitivity Analysis
Assuming 4 Years to Graduation

This analysis tests three cost scenarios (Scholarship, Average Net Price, Full Sticker Price) to show how college costs impact your long-term return compared to the average student and a high school graduate.

Lifetime Value Added (NPV)

Institution Lifetime NPV
Vs Median Peer
Vs HS Grad
Zero Cost (Scholarship)$0
+$606k
+$136k
+$120k
Median Cost$12k/yr
+$564k
+$94k
+$78k
Full Cost$41k/yr
+$459k
-$12k
-$28k

ROI Efficiency Metrics

Break-Even Age
Return on Inv. %
Zero Cost (Scholarship)$0
31
∞
Median Cost$12k/yr
37
187%
Full Cost$41k/yr
Never
-19%
Analysis Assumptions:
  • Starting Salary: Estimated from the median earnings five years after graduating, with four years of 2% raises taken out.
  • Comparisons: "Vs Median Peer" compares to the median student nationwide in a similar level program. "Vs HS Grad" compares to a median high school graduate.
  • Break-Even: The age at which the college investment net income exceeds the median high school graduate's lifetime earnings.
  • NPV: Net Present Value of all future earnings minus costs and taxes, discounted at 7.8%.

Social Impact ROINew

Measures the societal return on a donor's investment. Calculated as the incremental pre-tax lifetime earnings vs. HS grad, divided by the tax-adjusted donation cost.

Donor Return56%

Gov. Pell Grant ROINew

Measures the government's return on Pell Grants via increased tax revenue. Calculated as the portion of incremental lifetime taxes (discounted at 5.4%) attributed to the Pell Grant investment.

Taxpayer Return-45%

Program ROI Analysis

These figures are medians for past graduates who received federal aid. Your cost and pay will differ. Run your own numbers in the Guided ROI Interview →

Bachelor's Degrees

Anthropology
BachCIP: 4502
Median Debt
-
Earnings (5yr)
$49,142
Natl Median: $46,676
Lifetime Value Added
-$88k
Applied Mathematics
BachCIP: 2703
Median Debt
$11,074
Earnings (4yr)
$82,156
Natl Median: $91,532
Lifetime Value Added
+$183k
Biology, General
BachCIP: 2601
Median Debt
$13,500
Earnings (4yr)
$59,249
Natl Median: $57,214
Lifetime Value Added
+$4k
Median Debt
$15,000
Earnings (4yr)
$88,795
Natl Median: $93,451
Lifetime Value Added
+$233k
Median Debt
$11,000
Earnings (4yr)
$68,277
Natl Median: $68,257
Lifetime Value Added
+$76k
Chemistry
BachCIP: 4005
Median Debt
$11,125
Earnings (4yr)
$56,888
Natl Median: $65,120
Lifetime Value Added
-$15k
Cognitive Science
BachCIP: 3025
Median Debt
$13,500
Earnings (4yr)
$51,147
Natl Median: $81,496
Lifetime Value Added
-$63k
Median Debt
$13,536
Earnings (4yr)
$102,575
Natl Median: $109,015
Lifetime Value Added
+$339k
Economics
BachCIP: 4506
Median Debt
$13,375
Earnings (4yr)
$67,692
Natl Median: $82,686
Lifetime Value Added
+$72k
Median Debt
$13,716
Earnings (4yr)
$58,623
Natl Median: $48,590
Lifetime Value Added
-$812
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
$83,007
Natl Median: $81,171
Lifetime Value Added
+$189k
Median Debt
-
Earnings (5yr)
$74,477
Natl Median: $60,190
Lifetime Value Added
+$113k
History
BachCIP: 5401
Median Debt
$16,181
Earnings (4yr)
$44,144
Natl Median: $50,680
Lifetime Value Added
-$122k
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $91,449
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
$12,757
Earnings (4yr)
$95,040
Natl Median: $92,135
Lifetime Value Added
+$281k
Physics
BachCIP: 4008
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $76,786
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
$12,515
Earnings (4yr)
$62,815
Natl Median: $63,293
Lifetime Value Added
+$33k
Psychology, General
BachCIP: 4201
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
$53,143
Natl Median: $50,706
Lifetime Value Added
-$46k
Public Health
BachCIP: 5122
Median Debt
$15,000
Earnings (4yr)
$56,393
Natl Median: $58,808
Lifetime Value Added
-$19k
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $55,000
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Sociology
BachCIP: 4511
Median Debt
$12,898
Earnings (4yr)
$50,468
Natl Median: $52,657
Lifetime Value Added
-$69k
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $41,688
Lifetime Value Added
N/A

Master's Degrees

Applied Mathematics
MastCIP: 2703
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $116,060
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $106,375
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $76,837
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Chemistry
MastCIP: 4005
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $82,937
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $136,736
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
History
MastCIP: 5401
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $55,360
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $65,716
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $115,974
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $74,607
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Physics
MastCIP: 4008
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $96,478
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Psychology, General
MastCIP: 4201
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $64,711
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Public Health
MastCIP: 5122
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $82,751
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Sociology
MastCIP: 4511
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $63,330
Lifetime Value Added
N/A

Doctoral Degrees

Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $123,729
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $99,578
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Chemistry
DocCIP: 4005
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $115,386
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Cognitive Science
DocCIP: 3025
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $118,884
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
History
DocCIP: 5401
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $70,550
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $69,534
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $131,070
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $87,076
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Physics
DocCIP: 4008
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $130,153
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $90,908
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $98,707
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Public Health
DocCIP: 5122
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $108,962
Lifetime Value Added
N/A
Sociology
DocCIP: 4511
Median Debt
-
Earnings (4yr)
-
Natl Median: $88,618
Lifetime Value Added
N/A

Note: Lifetime Value Added is the Net Present Value (NPV) of estimated career earnings relative to a median high school graduate (for undergraduate programs) or a median bachelor's degree holder (for graduate programs), accounting for this institution's average cost and taxes. Computed over a career to retirement age.

For graduate programs (Master's, Doctoral, etc.), the calculation assumes a starting age of 22 (after undergraduate completion) and does not include the sunk costs of prior degrees. It represents the value added of the graduate decision moving forward. Note that the institution's average undergraduate net price is used as a proxy for annual cost, which may differ from actual graduate tuition. These Lifetime Value Added results for graduate degrees should not be compared with those for Undergraduate Certificates, Associates or Bachelors.

Completers Only: Federal median earnings data strictly reflects outcomes for students who successfully graduated. Students who do not complete their degree typically earn significantly less and face higher risks of debt default.